How Medicare Drug Price Negotiations Work and What It Means for Your Prescription Costs

How Medicare Drug Price Negotiations Work and What It Means for Your Prescription Costs

Martyn F. Jan. 13 13

For years, Medicare couldn’t negotiate drug prices directly. That changed in 2022 with the Inflation Reduction Act. Starting January 1, 2026, the federal government will set new, lower prices for 10 high-cost prescription drugs - drugs like Eliquis, Jardiance, and Xarelto - that have no generic or biosimilar alternatives. These aren’t minor cuts. The negotiated discounts range from 38% to 79%, according to the Department of Health and Human Services. For many Medicare beneficiaries, this means paying hundreds less per year for essential medications.

How Medicare Picks Drugs to Negotiate

Not every drug is eligible. The law only allows negotiation for drugs that are at least 7 years old (or 11 years for biologics) and have no competition from generics or biosimilars. That means newer drugs, even if they’re expensive, are off-limits for now. The first 10 drugs were chosen because they cost Medicare the most - together, they totaled over $50 billion in spending in 2022. Eliquis alone accounted for $6.3 billion of that.

CMS, which runs Medicare, doesn’t just pick drugs randomly. They look at how many people use them, how effective they are, and whether there are cheaper alternatives. For example, if a drug is the only option for treating a serious condition like atrial fibrillation or type 2 diabetes, it’s more likely to be selected. The goal isn’t to push patients toward cheaper drugs - it’s to bring down the price of the ones they’re already taking.

The Negotiation Process - Step by Step

The negotiation process is tightly controlled by law. On February 1, 2024, CMS sent each drugmaker an initial price offer. Each offer included a clear explanation of how it was calculated, based on what Medicare actually paid in 2022, after rebates and discounts. The drug companies had exactly 30 days to respond with a counteroffer. Then, CMS held three in-person or virtual meetings with each company between March and July 2024.

Here’s how it worked in practice: CMS started low. Drugmakers started high. Over the meetings, CMS raised their offers slightly, while manufacturers lowered theirs. Five of the 10 drugs reached agreements during these meetings. The other five were settled through final written offers after the deadline. The final price can’t be higher than two limits: either the average price Medicare paid in 2022 (after all discounts), or a percentage of the drug’s average price across the U.S. market. This prevents manufacturers from claiming their drug is worth far more than what others are paying.

Why This Is a Big Deal for Insurers and Patients

Before this law, Medicare Part D - the prescription drug benefit - relied on private insurers to negotiate discounts with drugmakers. But those discounts didn’t always pass through to patients. Many people still paid full list price at the pharmacy, especially if they were in the “donut hole” coverage gap. Now, the new negotiated prices become the baseline for all Part D plans. That means insurers can’t charge more than the Maximum Fair Price set by CMS. Any extra rebate the insurer gets from the manufacturer is now theirs to keep - not a reason to raise premiums.

For patients, the impact is direct. Someone taking Eliquis, which used to cost over $500 a month, might now pay under $300. That’s a savings of $2,400 a year. For people on fixed incomes, that’s life-changing. The law also caps out-of-pocket spending at $2,000 a year for Medicare Part D beneficiaries starting in 2025 - so even if a drug isn’t negotiated, your total drug bill won’t go higher than that.

Government agent shaking hands with pharmaceutical executive as prices drop dramatically.

What About Private Insurers? Are They Getting Discounts Too?

Yes - but indirectly. The new Medicare prices don’t legally bind private insurers. But in practice, most commercial insurers use Medicare’s negotiated prices as a benchmark. If Medicare is paying $120 for a drug, it’s hard for a private insurer to justify paying $200. Many companies are already adjusting their formularies and pricing based on the new Medicare rates. The Pharmaceutical Care Management Association estimates private insurers could save $200-250 billion over the next decade just from this ripple effect.

Some pharmacies and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) are already updating their systems to reflect the new prices. By October 15, 2025, all Part D plans must have their pricing files updated so the new rates take effect on January 1, 2026. If you’re on Medicare, you’ll see the lower price automatically at the pharmacy counter - no extra steps needed.

What’s Next? The Expansion Plan

This is just the beginning. In 2027, 15 more drugs will be added to the negotiation list - including Farxiga and Stelara. By 2028, the program expands to Medicare Part B, which covers drugs given in doctors’ offices or hospitals, like cancer treatments and injections. That’s a bigger challenge because those drugs are administered by providers, not dispensed by pharmacies. But CMS has already released guidance for Part B pricing, and the same negotiation rules will apply.

The law requires at least 10 drugs each year after 2025, rising to 20 drugs annually by 2029. That means over 100 drugs could be negotiated by 2030. The goal isn’t to cut prices overnight - it’s to create a sustainable system where drugmakers know they can’t keep charging whatever they want for drugs with no competition.

Medicare beneficiaries enjoying life in park with pill bottles showing big savings.

Are There Any Downsides?

Drugmakers say yes. Companies like Pfizer and Bristol Myers Squibb sued to block the program, arguing it violates their constitutional rights. A federal judge dismissed those lawsuits in August 2024, but appeals are expected. The industry claims the program will hurt innovation - they say they’ll have less money to develop new drugs. But the Office of Management and Budget found those claims were exaggerated. In fact, the U.S. spends more on prescription drugs than any other country - and we don’t get better outcomes.

Some patient groups worry that lower prices could lead to fewer treatment options. If a drugmaker decides a drug isn’t profitable enough, they might stop making it. But CMS has built in safeguards: they won’t negotiate a drug unless there are other safe, effective alternatives available. And the law requires manufacturers to keep producing the drug for at least three years after negotiation.

What This Means for You

If you’re on Medicare and take one of the 10 negotiated drugs, you’ll see lower prices starting January 1, 2026. You don’t need to do anything. Your pharmacy will automatically charge the new price. If you’re on a private plan, your insurer may lower your costs too - you’ll see it in your next explanation of benefits.

If you’re not on Medicare yet, this matters too. The same drugs you’ll need in 10 years might be subject to negotiation by then. And if private insurers follow Medicare’s lead, everyone benefits from lower drug prices.

This isn’t about government overreach. It’s about fixing a broken system. For over 20 years, Medicare was told it couldn’t negotiate - while other countries like Canada and the UK did. Now, the U.S. is finally catching up. And for millions of people, that means more money in their pockets and less stress over their prescriptions.

Which drugs are affected by the new Medicare price negotiations?

The first 10 drugs selected for negotiation in 2026 are: Eliquis (apixaban), Jardiance (empagliflozin), Xarelto (rivaroxaban), Farxiga (dapagliflozin), Enbrel (etanercept), Lantus (insulin glargine), Trelegy (fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol), Stelara (ustekinumab), Imbruvica (ibrutinib), and Revlimid (lenalidomide). These were chosen because they’re high-cost, single-source drugs with no generic alternatives. More drugs will be added each year starting in 2027.

Will my prescription costs go down if I’m not on Medicare?

Possibly. While the new prices only legally apply to Medicare, most private insurers use Medicare’s negotiated rates as a benchmark. If Medicare pays $120 for a drug, insurers won’t want to pay $250. Many commercial plans have already started adjusting their pricing based on these new rates. You may see lower copays or premiums over time.

How are the negotiated prices calculated?

CMS calculates the Maximum Fair Price using two formulas: the average price Medicare paid in 2022 after all rebates and discounts, or a percentage of the drug’s average non-Federal Average Manufacturer Price (non-FAMP). The lower of the two becomes the cap. This ensures prices reflect real-world costs, not inflated list prices.

Can drugmakers refuse to negotiate?

No. If a drug is selected, the manufacturer must participate. If they refuse, they face a tax penalty - up to 95% of their total U.S. sales revenue for that drug. That’s a huge financial risk, so all 10 manufacturers agreed to negotiate. Some have challenged the law in court, but courts have so far upheld it.

When will I see the price changes?

The first negotiated prices take effect on January 1, 2026. Medicare Part D plans must update their systems by October 15, 2025. If you’re on Medicare and take one of the 10 drugs, you’ll see the lower price at the pharmacy counter starting January 1, 2026 - no action needed on your part.

Will this affect my access to my current medication?

No. The law requires manufacturers to keep producing the drug for at least three years after negotiation. Also, CMS only selects drugs where there are other safe and effective alternatives available. You won’t be forced to switch medications. Your doctor can still prescribe the drug you’re on - you’ll just pay less.

Comments (13)
  • Alvin Bregman
    Alvin Bregman 14 Jan 2026
    This is actually huge. I've been on Eliquis for years and paying $500 a month was killing me. If I'm paying under $300 now, that's like getting a free vacation every year. No more skipping doses to make it last.
  • Robert Way
    Robert Way 14 Jan 2026
    cant believe they finally did it. drug companies have been ripping us off for decades. why did it take so long?
  • Sarah Triphahn
    Sarah Triphahn 16 Jan 2026
    Let me be clear - this isn't about fairness. It's about control. The government is setting prices now. What's next? Who decides what drugs are 'necessary'? This is the slippery slope to rationing. You think you're saving money now, but wait till your options disappear.
  • Sarah -Jane Vincent
    Sarah -Jane Vincent 17 Jan 2026
    Oh here we go. Another socialist power grab disguised as 'helping seniors'. You think the drug companies are just gonna roll over? They'll cut R&D, kill innovation, and the next miracle drug? Gone. And you'll be the one crying when your cancer med costs $10,000 because the government broke the system.
  • Henry Sy
    Henry Sy 18 Jan 2026
    I used to work in pharma sales. Let me tell you - the list price is a joke. The real price? Rebates, discounts, secret deals - it's all smoke and mirrors. Medicare finally got smart and went straight for the real cost. The companies are screaming because they can't hide behind $1,000 pill prices anymore. I'm not surprised they sued - they're terrified of transparency.
  • Anna Hunger
    Anna Hunger 20 Jan 2026
    It is imperative to recognize that this legislative action represents a critical correction to a decades-long market failure. The absence of price negotiation by Medicare constituted an egregious distortion in the pharmaceutical supply chain. The implementation of the Maximum Fair Price mechanism is not only fiscally prudent but ethically necessary. Patients must not be held hostage by monopolistic pricing structures.
  • Jason Yan
    Jason Yan 21 Jan 2026
    You know what's wild? This whole thing reminds me of how other countries have been doing this for years. Canada, Germany, the UK - they've had price controls forever and they still have new drugs coming out. The idea that we can't negotiate and still innovate is just a myth pushed by lobbyists. If we can pay less for the same pill and still have companies make a profit, why didn't we do this sooner? It's not about killing profits - it's about stopping greed.
  • shiv singh
    shiv singh 22 Jan 2026
    This is why America is falling apart. First they take your guns, now they take your medicine prices. Who gave them the right to tell corporations what to charge? This is communism with a Medicare badge. You think you're winning? Wait till the next election when the drug companies move production overseas and your prescriptions vanish.
  • Vicky Zhang
    Vicky Zhang 23 Jan 2026
    I have a friend with type 2 diabetes who takes Jardiance. She cried when she heard about this. She's on a fixed income, works two part-time jobs, and was choosing between her insulin and her rent. This isn't just about numbers - it's about people who are barely surviving. I'm so glad someone finally stood up to the drug giants. This is what real leadership looks like.
  • Allison Deming
    Allison Deming 25 Jan 2026
    While the intention behind this policy may be commendable, the underlying mechanism of price control introduces significant distortions into the market economy. The artificial suppression of prices undermines the incentive structure necessary for innovation, and the precedent set by federal price-setting may lead to broader encroachments on private enterprise. One must question whether the short-term benefit to beneficiaries outweighs the long-term degradation of pharmaceutical advancement.
  • Susie Deer
    Susie Deer 26 Jan 2026
    USA first. Why are we copying Europe? They have worse healthcare outcomes. Let the free market work. If you can't afford your meds, get a better job. This is weakness.
  • TooAfraid ToSay
    TooAfraid ToSay 26 Jan 2026
    I'm Nigerian. We don't have this. We pay $200 for a single pill that costs $2 in India. Meanwhile, Americans are getting discounts. The whole system is rigged. The rich get the drugs, the poor get the bills. And now the U.S. is finally doing something? Took long enough.
  • Dylan Livingston
    Dylan Livingston 28 Jan 2026
    Oh wow. The government finally stepped in. Let me guess - next they'll be telling you how many calories you can eat, what kind of car you can drive, and whether your kid can have a birthday party. This is how tyrannies start. One tiny 'helpful' regulation, then another, then suddenly you're living in a world where your medicine is rationed and your choices are curated by a bureaucrat who's never even taken a pill. And you call this progress? It's just control with a smile.
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